Whenever I feel like beating myself up, I do the math pertaining to the question "What if I always bought AAPL instead of the stocks I bought in the name of diversifying my portfolio?" (Answer: I could have retired. Years ago. Comfortably.) The takeaway on the exercise isn't that I necessarily should have bought more AAPL, but, perhaps I should have stuck more closely to "obvious" investment ideas. I should have bought more TSLA and GOOG and BX and GLW too.
So I'm repeating a previous investment idea this month. I might repeat them for several months running...
3D Systems (DDD)
Positives:
Excellent revenue growth (45%).
3D printing is a hot industry (like, "electric car" hot).
Negatives:
Absurd 114 P/E, though forward 40 P/E is slightly better.
Negative earnings growth (-17%).
Heavily shorted (31%).
ExOne (XONE)
Positives:
$98M cash, $3M debt.
37% of shares owned by insiders.
Negatives:
Negative revenue growth (-16%).
No earnings as of yet; forward P/E of 128(!!).
Atrocious profit (-16%) and operating (-14%) margins.
Heavily shorted (35%).
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 11.55%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.44%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 7.16%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.99%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.49%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.46%
Ace Limited (ACE) 3.29%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 3.24%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.98%
Under Armour (UA) 2.93%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.56%
Blackstone (BX) 2.55%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.18%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.99%
Nike (NKE) 1.92%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 1.66%
DuPont (DD) 1.55%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.46%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 1.45%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.44%
Apache (APA) 1.43%
Intel (INTC) 1.43%
EMC (EMC) 1.39%
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) 1.36%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 1.30%
ExOne (XONE) 1.30%
American Express (AXP) 1.17%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.15%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.08%
Hershey (HSY) 1.02%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 1.01%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.01%
Microsoft (MSFT) 0.98%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.96%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.94%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.93%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.93%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.92%
BlackRock (BLK) 0.90%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.86%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.79%
The Distressed (BEBE, GSOL, LZB, MSI, TMUS) 0.75%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.75%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.74%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.71%
Whole Foods Market (WFM) 0.67%
Monday, May 5, 2014
Tuesday, April 8, 2014
Stock Of The Month: EMC
This month's choice is a repeat of sorts. I bought EMC waaaaaaaaay back in June 2001 for $29.50/share, bought more in May 2002 for $7.50(!)/share, and sold in January 2006 for $13.45. Kind of a mixed bag there, and I couldn't give you a reason why I bought or sold EMC previously.
Today, it is a natural fit with current holdings Google, Amazon, Microsoft, F5 Networks, Cisco, IBM, and Salesforce.com as core representatives of the cloud/"internet of everything". Without further ado...
EMC (EMC)
Positives:
Solid revenue (11%) and earnings (18%) growth.
Cheap 21 P/E, 13 forward P/E.
Well-funded 1.5% dividend yield.
Negatives:
Lukewarm return on assets (7%) and equity (13%).
Low insider ownership (0.2%).
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.74%
Apple (AAPL) 10.27%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 7.56%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.70%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.70%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 3.40%
Under Armour (UA) 3.20%
Ace Limited (ACE) 3.17%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 3.09%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.96%
3D Systems (DDD) 2.84%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.70%
Blackstone (BX) 2.64%
American Software (AMSWA) 2.06%
Nike (NKE) 1.93%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 1.61%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.58%
DuPont (DD) 1.56%
EMC (EMC) 1.49%
Intel (INTC) 1.46%
Apache (APA) 1.41%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.41%
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) 1.40%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 1.39%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 1.31%
American Express (AXP) 1.18%
Hershey (HSY) 1.08%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.07%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.06%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.03%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 1.02%
Microsoft (MSFT) 0.99%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.97%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.96%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.94%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.93%
BlackRock (BLK) 0.91%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.88%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.88%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.88%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.83%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.79%
The Distressed (BEBE, GSOL, LZB, MSI, TMUS) 0.76%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.74%
Whole Foods Market (WFM) 0.70%
ExOne (XONE) 0.40%
Today, it is a natural fit with current holdings Google, Amazon, Microsoft, F5 Networks, Cisco, IBM, and Salesforce.com as core representatives of the cloud/"internet of everything". Without further ado...
EMC (EMC)
Positives:
Solid revenue (11%) and earnings (18%) growth.
Cheap 21 P/E, 13 forward P/E.
Well-funded 1.5% dividend yield.
Negatives:
Lukewarm return on assets (7%) and equity (13%).
Low insider ownership (0.2%).
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.74%
Apple (AAPL) 10.27%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 7.56%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.70%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.70%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 3.40%
Under Armour (UA) 3.20%
Ace Limited (ACE) 3.17%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 3.09%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.96%
3D Systems (DDD) 2.84%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.70%
Blackstone (BX) 2.64%
American Software (AMSWA) 2.06%
Nike (NKE) 1.93%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 1.61%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.58%
DuPont (DD) 1.56%
EMC (EMC) 1.49%
Intel (INTC) 1.46%
Apache (APA) 1.41%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.41%
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) 1.40%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 1.39%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 1.31%
American Express (AXP) 1.18%
Hershey (HSY) 1.08%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.07%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.06%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.03%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 1.02%
Microsoft (MSFT) 0.99%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.97%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.96%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.94%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.93%
BlackRock (BLK) 0.91%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.88%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.88%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.88%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.83%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.79%
The Distressed (BEBE, GSOL, LZB, MSI, TMUS) 0.76%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.74%
Whole Foods Market (WFM) 0.70%
ExOne (XONE) 0.40%
Monday, March 3, 2014
Stocks Of The Month: DDD, SSYS, IRBT, LULU
First, some housecleaning...Vodafone (VOD) finally sold its holding of Verizon Wireless to Verizon (VZ), meaning I could declare "mission accomplished" for a 94% gain (16% annualized). I used the proceeds to help buy 2 old stocks, and 2 new stocks...
3D Systems (DDD)
Positives:
Excellent revenue growth (52%).
3D printing is a hot industry (like, "electric car" hot).
Negatives:
Absurd 166 P/E, though forward 62 P/E is slightly better.
Poor earnings growth (3%).
Heavily shorted (29%).
Stratasys (SSYS)
Positives:
153% revenue growth.
$615M cash, $0 debt.
42% of shares owned by insiders.
Negatives:
No earnings as of yet; forward P/E of 56.
Negative profit margin (-7%) and ROE (-2%).
iRobot (IRBT)
Positives:
Good revenue growth (26%).
$187M cash, $0 debt.
Seems like something Google might want to buy (e.g. Nest, Boston Dynamics).
Negatives:
Lukewarm margins (6% profit, 7% operating) and returns (6% on assets, 9% on equity).
Substantially shorted (18%).
Should be making more interesting things than vacuum cleaners.
Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Positives:
Solid margins (18% profit, 26% operating) and returns (25% on assets, 31% on equity).
$601M cash, $0 debt.
Reasonable 26 P/E, 23 forward P/E.
Negatives:
Market cap of $7B. That's a lot of yoga pants.
Substantially shorted (17%).
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 11.84%
Apple (AAPL) 9.83%
Google (GOOG) 7.75%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.08%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.86%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.81%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 3.51%
Under Armour (UA) 3.25%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 3.19%
Stratasys (SSYS) 3.11%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.97%
Blackstone (BX) 2.69%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.60%
American Software (AMSWA) 2.15%
Nike (NKE) 1.94%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.92%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 1.74%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 1.48%
DuPont (DD) 1.46%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.28%
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) 1.28%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 1.27%
Intel (INTC) 1.26%
Apache (APA) 1.26%
American Express (AXP) 1.16%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 1.06%
Hershey (HSY) 1.06%
Ansys (ANSS) 1.00%
Starbucks (SBUX) 0.96%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 0.96%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.96%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 0.95%
Microsoft (MSFT) 0.89%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.89%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.88%
BlackRock (BLK) 0.86%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.83%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.82%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.82%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.79%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.78%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.72%
The Distressed (BEBE, GSOL, LZB, MSI, TMUS) 0.70%
Whole Foods Market (WFM) 0.69%
ExOne (XONE) 0.55%
3D Systems (DDD)
Positives:
Excellent revenue growth (52%).
3D printing is a hot industry (like, "electric car" hot).
Negatives:
Absurd 166 P/E, though forward 62 P/E is slightly better.
Poor earnings growth (3%).
Heavily shorted (29%).
Stratasys (SSYS)
Positives:
153% revenue growth.
$615M cash, $0 debt.
42% of shares owned by insiders.
Negatives:
No earnings as of yet; forward P/E of 56.
Negative profit margin (-7%) and ROE (-2%).
iRobot (IRBT)
Positives:
Good revenue growth (26%).
$187M cash, $0 debt.
Seems like something Google might want to buy (e.g. Nest, Boston Dynamics).
Negatives:
Lukewarm margins (6% profit, 7% operating) and returns (6% on assets, 9% on equity).
Substantially shorted (18%).
Should be making more interesting things than vacuum cleaners.
Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Positives:
Solid margins (18% profit, 26% operating) and returns (25% on assets, 31% on equity).
$601M cash, $0 debt.
Reasonable 26 P/E, 23 forward P/E.
Negatives:
Market cap of $7B. That's a lot of yoga pants.
Substantially shorted (17%).
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 11.84%
Apple (AAPL) 9.83%
Google (GOOG) 7.75%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.08%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.86%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.81%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 3.51%
Under Armour (UA) 3.25%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 3.19%
Stratasys (SSYS) 3.11%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.97%
Blackstone (BX) 2.69%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.60%
American Software (AMSWA) 2.15%
Nike (NKE) 1.94%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.92%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 1.74%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 1.48%
DuPont (DD) 1.46%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.28%
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) 1.28%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 1.27%
Intel (INTC) 1.26%
Apache (APA) 1.26%
American Express (AXP) 1.16%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 1.06%
Hershey (HSY) 1.06%
Ansys (ANSS) 1.00%
Starbucks (SBUX) 0.96%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 0.96%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.96%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 0.95%
Microsoft (MSFT) 0.89%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.89%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.88%
BlackRock (BLK) 0.86%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.83%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.82%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.82%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.79%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.78%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.72%
The Distressed (BEBE, GSOL, LZB, MSI, TMUS) 0.70%
Whole Foods Market (WFM) 0.69%
ExOne (XONE) 0.55%
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