Monday, November 4, 2019

Stock Of The Month: NVDA

Revisiting the catalysts for NVIDIA to outperform the market for the foreseeable future:

  • NVIDIA is at the heart of technologies shaping our future: deep learning, artificial intelligence, datacenters/cloud computing, and automated driving.
  • Within the semiconductor industry, Intel is the best-in-class manufacturer, while NVIDIA is the best-in-class designer. If someone wants the most powerful chips in the world, they choose NVIDIA.
  • NVIDIA's new chip (Turing) being so much better than their old chip (Pascal) was a high-quality problem...now in the rear-view mirror.

Restating my beliefs: NVIDIA deserves the current market cap of Intel (95% upside).


NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • $125.9B market cap
  • 0.3% dividend yield
  • $10.2B revenue
  • -17% revenue growth
  • $3.0B operating cash flow
  • $1.6B free cash flow

Here's my current portfolio (buy and hold). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

NVIDIA (NVDA) 14.77%
Apple (AAPL) 13.51%
Amazon (AMZN) 12.85%
Microsoft (MSFT) 10.60%
Tesla (TSLA) 10.42%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 5.82%
Facebook (FB) 3.86%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 3.51
Adobe (ADBE) 2.31%
Salesforce (CRM) 2.16%
Visa (V) 2.14%
Nike (NKE) 2.06%
Intel (INTC) 2.00%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 1.88%
Comcast (CMCSA) 1.86%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.67%
Waste Management (WM) 1.42%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.34%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.96%
Union Pacific (UNP) 0.89%
Norfolk Southern (NSC) 0.84%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 0.81%
CSX (CSX) 0.79%
Autodesk (ADSK) 0.79%
Kansas City Southern (KSU) 0.36%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.35%

Monday, October 7, 2019

Stocks Of The Month: CRM, MSFT

In January, I identified the all of the stocks that I wanted to buy more of during the upcoming year. I've been chipping away at this list ever since, but unfortunately there just aren't enough months in the year to buy them all (at least in significant quantities). So, I set up a battle-royale for this month's non-Microsoft choice between Adobe (ADBE), Autodesk (ADSK), Salesforce (CRM), and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG). CRM won out, due to superior cash flow and revenue numbers.

Meanwhile, I've bought more Microsoft (MSFT) this year than any other stock in any other year, ever. Their recently announced share buyback and dividend raise confirms my bullish thesis.

Salesforce (CRM)
  • $128.0B market cap
  • no dividend
  • $14.7B revenue
  • 22% revenue growth
  • $3.9B operating cash flow
  • $4.5B free cash flow

Microsoft (MSFT)
  • $1.03T market cap
  • 1.5% dividend yield
  • $125.8B revenue
  • 12% revenue growth
  • $52.2B operating cash flow
  • $30.9B free cash flow


Here's my current portfolio (buy and hold). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Amazon (AMZN) 13.67%
NVIDIA (NVDA) 13.41%
Apple (AAPL) 13.19%
Microsoft (MSFT) 11.13%
Tesla (TSLA) 8.64%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 6.04%
Facebook (FB) 3.94%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 3.65%
Adobe (ADBE) 2.56%
Nike (NKE) 2.37%
Visa (V) 2.32%
Salesforce (CRM) 2.26%
Comcast (CMCSA) 2.09%
Intel (INTC) 1.95%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.93%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 1.83%
Waste Management (WM) 1.65%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.47%
American Water Works (AWK) 1.10%
Union Pacific (UNP) 0.87%
Autodesk (ADSK) 0.85%
Norfolk Southern (NSC) 0.83%
CSX (CSX) 0.80%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 0.71%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.36%
Kansas City Southern (KSU) 0.35%

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Stocks Of The Month: CMCSA, MSFT, SBUX

First, another sale...(definitely) my final of 2019. (We're down to 26 stocks, which is pretty exciting!) BlackRock (BLK) was first bought in May 2013. It went up; I bought some more; then it flattened out - rolled over, really - over the past 2+ years. The anemic -2% revenue growth sealed its fate. I've sold it at a modest 15% gain (2% annualized). I used the proceeds from this sale to help fund additional purchases of three stocks that I identified at the beginning of the year, including one that continues its slow climb from a "5" to a "16"...


Comcast (CMCSA)
  • $206.9B market cap
  • 1.9% dividend yield
  • $103.7B revenue
  • 24% revenue growth
  • $26.0B operating cash flow
  • $13.1B free cash flow

Microsoft (MSFT)
  • $1.05T market cap
  • 1.3% dividend yield
  • $125.8B revenue
  • 12% revenue growth
  • $52.2B operating cash flow
  • $30.9B free cash flow

Starbucks (SBUX)
  • $115.0B market cap
  • 1.5% dividend yield
  • $26.1B revenue
  • 8% revenue growth
  • $12.4B operating cash flow
  • $3.8B free cash flow

Here's my current portfolio (buy and hold). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Amazon (AMZN) 14.82%
NVIDIA (NVDA) 12.80%
Apple (AAPL) 12.68%
Microsoft (MSFT) 9.59%
Tesla (TSLA) 8.37%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 6.17%
Facebook (FB) 4.28%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 3.59%
Adobe (ADBE) 2.74%
Visa (V) 2.52%
Nike (NKE) 2.29%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.26%
Comcast (CMCSA) 2.23%
Salesforce (CRM) 2.14%
Intel (INTC) 1.96%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 1.96%
Waste Management (WM) 1.79%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.55%
American Water Works (AWK) 1.19%
Union Pacific (UNP) 0.93%
Autodesk (ADSK) 0.87%
Norfolk Southern (NSC) 0.86%
CSX (CSX) 0.84%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 0.80%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.40%
Kansas City Southern (KSU) 0.36%