Continuing the "cut the losers" theme, Cisco (CSCO) has been sold after (inexplicably) being added to just this past March. It's only been dead money for nearly 16 years and counting.
Proceeds from this sale were used towards 2 "winners"...and 2 stocks of another sort.
Costco (COST)
Positives:
Positive cash flows ($4.3B operating, $1.5B free).
Very safe 1.0% dividend yield.
Warren Buffett likes it.
Negatives:
Thin margins (2% profit, 3% operating).
Weak revenue (1%) and earnings (10%) growth.
Salesforce.com (CRM)
Positives:
Solid revenue growth (24%).
Positive free cash flows ($1.4B).
Negatives:
Expensive 82 forward P/E, 3.45 PEG.
Negative profit (-1%) margin and ROE (-2%).
More debt ($2.1B) than cash ($1.4B).
3D Systems (DDD)
Stratasys (SSYS)
Because.
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 12.90%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.04%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.77%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.86%
Amazon (AMZN) 5.63%
Under Armour (UA) 4.82%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.50%
Stratasys (SSYS) 4.22%
Nike (NKE) 4.05%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.79%
Blackstone (BX) 2.75%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.75%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.43%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.30%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.06%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.78%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.62%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.62%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 1.62%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.59%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.52%
Intel (INTC) 1.39%
Boeing (BA) 1.39%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.29%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.23%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.20%
DuPont (DD) 1.16%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.88%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.72%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.71%
American Express (AXP) 0.71%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.70%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.60%
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
Wednesday, November 4, 2015
Stocks Of The Month: DDD, SSYS (The True Believer Edition)
(...remember that time that I tried to chase a bunch of high-flying growth stocks? Yeah, I'm unwinding that trade.)
(...however, I decided this month to cut some losers in order to buy the biggest losers of all...)
Including this month, I've bought DDD and SSYS twelve and eight times respectively. If there are any stocks that I believe in more than any others, it would be these; even to my great detriment.
There is some actual evidence that this could be the end of the downward spiral. I submit:
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 13.44%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.95%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.49%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.45%
Amazon (AMZN) 5.30%
Under Armour (UA) 5.25%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.87%
Stratasys (SSYS) 4.01%
Nike (NKE) 3.95%
Blackstone (BX) 3.01%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.80%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.68%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.26%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.21%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.04%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.86%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.74%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.59%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.57%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.44%
Boeing (BA) 1.39%
Intel (INTC) 1.35%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.29%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.24%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.18%
DuPont (DD) 1.10%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.92%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.86%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.83%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.78%
American Express (AXP) 0.73%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.73%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.69%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.63%
(...however, I decided this month to cut some losers in order to buy the biggest losers of all...)
Including this month, I've bought DDD and SSYS twelve and eight times respectively. If there are any stocks that I believe in more than any others, it would be these; even to my great detriment.
There is some actual evidence that this could be the end of the downward spiral. I submit:
- Headline: "3D Systems Stock Jumps Despite Earnings Miss". That loosely translates to "3D Systems Delivers Mostly Awful Results, Instead Of Usual Completely Awful Results", or "3D Systems Stock Can Find No More Sellers".
- Gartner expects 3D printer sales to more than double every year between 2016 and 2019. At some point, reality will have to converge with these expectations.
- It might be the case that consumer 3D printing technologies are now poised to begin climbing the "Slope of Enlightenment", with further-out technologies moving post-"Peak of Inflated Expectations" (from Gartner):
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 13.44%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.95%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.49%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.45%
Amazon (AMZN) 5.30%
Under Armour (UA) 5.25%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.87%
Stratasys (SSYS) 4.01%
Nike (NKE) 3.95%
Blackstone (BX) 3.01%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.80%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.68%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.26%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.21%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.04%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.86%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.74%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.59%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.57%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.44%
Boeing (BA) 1.39%
Intel (INTC) 1.35%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.29%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.24%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.18%
DuPont (DD) 1.10%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.92%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.86%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.83%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.78%
American Express (AXP) 0.73%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.73%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.69%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.63%
Monday, October 12, 2015
Stocks Of The Month: NKE, SBUX
(...remember that time that I tried to chase a bunch of high-flying growth stocks? Yeah, I'm unwinding that trade.)
I was looking at my portfolio recently, and on a whim decided to sort it by annualized gain. These stocks appeared at the top: TSLA, AMZN, UA, NKE, AAPL, SBUX
I know hindsight is 20/20, but...it is hard to ignore how obvious of a portfolio that is. No "hidden gems" in that list whatsoever. Any 10-year-old or 70-year-old might have come up with that basket of stocks. I can't help but think that investing is simpler than most people make it seem (myself especially included).
Therefore, let's get all Jack Welch on my portfolio; reward the winners, and cut the losers.
Nike (NKE)
Positives:
+$4.3B cash minus debt.
Massive operating ($4.5B) and free cash flow ($2.2B).
Dividend increased for 25 consecutive years, currently yielding 0.9%.
Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
Tepid revenue growth (5%).
Mild profit and operating margins (11% and 14% respectively).
Low insider ownership (0.18%).
Starbucks (SBUX)
Positives:
Good profit (15%) and operating (18%) margins.
Solid revenue (18%) and earnings (22%) growth.
Dividend increased for 5 consecutive years, currently yielding 1.1%.
Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
-$0.8B cash minus debt.
It is possible, maybe even likely, that someone will come along and make a better cup of coffee someday.
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 13.23%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.97%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.22%
Under Armour (UA) 6.13%
Amazon (AMZN) 4.89%
Baidu (BIDU) 4.27%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.21%
Nike (NKE) 4.12%
Blackstone (BX) 3.25%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.94%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.90%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.73%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.60%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.19%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.96%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.96%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.72%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.64%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.62%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.52%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.50%
Boeing (BA) 1.42%
Intel (INTC) 1.37%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.34%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.29%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.16%
DuPont (DD) 1.02%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.93%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.90%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.89%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.85%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Express (AXP) 0.82%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.80%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.75%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.75%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.68%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.65%
I was looking at my portfolio recently, and on a whim decided to sort it by annualized gain. These stocks appeared at the top: TSLA, AMZN, UA, NKE, AAPL, SBUX
I know hindsight is 20/20, but...it is hard to ignore how obvious of a portfolio that is. No "hidden gems" in that list whatsoever. Any 10-year-old or 70-year-old might have come up with that basket of stocks. I can't help but think that investing is simpler than most people make it seem (myself especially included).
Therefore, let's get all Jack Welch on my portfolio; reward the winners, and cut the losers.
Nike (NKE)
Positives:
+$4.3B cash minus debt.
Massive operating ($4.5B) and free cash flow ($2.2B).
Dividend increased for 25 consecutive years, currently yielding 0.9%.
Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
Tepid revenue growth (5%).
Mild profit and operating margins (11% and 14% respectively).
Low insider ownership (0.18%).
Starbucks (SBUX)
Positives:
Good profit (15%) and operating (18%) margins.
Solid revenue (18%) and earnings (22%) growth.
Dividend increased for 5 consecutive years, currently yielding 1.1%.
Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
-$0.8B cash minus debt.
It is possible, maybe even likely, that someone will come along and make a better cup of coffee someday.
Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.
Apple (AAPL) 13.23%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.97%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.22%
Under Armour (UA) 6.13%
Amazon (AMZN) 4.89%
Baidu (BIDU) 4.27%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.21%
Nike (NKE) 4.12%
Blackstone (BX) 3.25%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.94%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.90%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.73%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.60%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.19%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.96%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.96%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.72%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.64%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.62%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.52%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.50%
Boeing (BA) 1.42%
Intel (INTC) 1.37%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.34%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.29%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.16%
DuPont (DD) 1.02%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.93%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.90%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.89%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.85%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Express (AXP) 0.82%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.80%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.75%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.75%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.68%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.65%
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