Monday, October 5, 2020

An Updated Summary of My Grand Unified Theory of Investing

Check out my previous post for how we landed here...



Account:

IRA

Roth IRA

Stocks & Income

Current percentage of total holdings:

~23%

~7%

~69%

Investment philosophy:

Jack Bogle

George Soros

Warren Buffett

Headline summary:

“Don't Do Something,
Just Stand There!”

“You Call That A Position?”

“Wonderful Companies at Fair Prices”

Account holdings:

• 52% indices (IWM, QQQ, VOO)
• 23% high-yield stocks (VIG, VYM)
• 24% high-yield bonds (HYLB, USHY)

• 53% one “high-conviction” stock (???)
• 47% bonds (AGG)

• 58% stocks (2 core holdings + QQQ)
• 42% preferred stock/bond ETFs
entire portfolio detailed here

Are dividends
reinvested?

Yes

Yes (AGG only)

No

Investment schedule:

N/A

Asynchronous

Synchronous

When do I intend to make changes?

Never

When I have a higher-conviction bet than the existing one (AGG → ???), or no conviction at all (??? → AGG)

Monthly purchases; "I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them"

Is account actively
funded with new contributions?

No

No

Yes

Is account written about on this blog monthly / ever?

No

No

Yes

(Preferred) Stock(/Bond ETF)s Of The Month: HYLB, PFFD, USHY

I'm buying yield.

In a few days, I'll receive the first dividend payments from last month's substantial turn from growth to yield. It is...dare I say...kind of exciting!


Boilerplate time...

As a stretch goal: for dividend income purposes, I'd like this portfolio to eventually be as much as a 50/50 split between stocks and bonds. As seen below, it is currently 58/42.

I am in no rush to flip into bonds. I would rather let my winners run forever. However, if in any given month I see no stocks that present themselves as especially good buying opportunities, I have no reservations in simply adding to my bond and/or preferred stock ETFs. It is truly a month-to-month situation (as it has always been!).

For the foreseeable future, I want to track my Big Five Two every month, whether I buy them or not.

Amazon (AMZN)
  • $1.60T market cap
  • no dividend
  • $321.8B revenue
  • 40% revenue growth
  • $71.4B cash
  • $91.4B debt
  • $51.2B operating cash flow
  • $33.7B free cash flow

Microsoft (MSFT)
  • $1.59T market cap
  • 1.1% dividend yield
  • $143.0B revenue
  • 13% revenue growth
  • $136.5B cash
  • $82.1B debt
  • $60.7B operating cash flow
  • $34.3B free cash flow


Here's my current portfolio (buy and hold). As always, I believe in all of these stocks/ETFs - until I sell them.

Amazon (AMZN) 13.64%
iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) 11.75%
Xtrackers USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYLB) 11.73%
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) 10.79%
Microsoft (MSFT) 10.13%
Global X U.S. Preferred ETF (PFFD) 7.47%
Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) 3.72%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 3.52%
Facebook (FB) 2.75%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.32%
Adobe (ADBE) 2.13%
Salesforce (CRM) 1.81%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.34%
Visa (V) 1.28%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 1.25%
Autodesk (ADSK) 0.63%