Saturday, July 16, 2011

Farewell To DOM

I've owned Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust (DOM) since November 2007. It was my Stock Of The Month just 2 months ago. But in a first half of 2011 that has been mostly foul-ups, bloopers, and blunders, I sold it all on Friday after it hit an all-time low closing price on Thursday. I had set a triggered sell when I last bought it, thinking it would never actually be needed. As DOM sunk lower and lower in recent weeks, I still thought it would bounce back. It didn't - the capital losses were overwhelming the dividend, and I had to admit defeat and move on.

Fortunately, DOM was still around 5.5% of my portfolio, so I had a great opportunity to fill some long-standing orders:
  • Bought enough Baidu (BIDU) to get back to where I was before, thereby (as best as is possible) undoing my worst stock sale ever;
  • Bought enough Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) to get back to where I was before as well; and
  • Used the remainder to buy Google (GOOG). I'd like to say that I got in before their fantastic last-quarter results were announced and the stock jumped 13%, but of course, I didn't.
Those are, as the reader might notice, three non-dividend-paying stocks. I feel that the chance to scratch some items off my to-do list outweighed the need to immediately replace DOM with a similar stock. I do have a few large dividend-paying candidates in mind though, and will be buying them as part of my normal monthly investments going forward.

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Stock Of The Month: UA

At the halfway point of 2011, things aren't looking so good.


So it's time for a comeback...a "game-two-of-the finals-and-the-opponent's-star-player-held-his-follow-through-a-little-too-long-on-a-corner-three" order of comeback. It's not going to be easy. But I'll try to do it the only way I know how: one stock at a time.

Under Armour (UA)

Positives:
Excellent revenue growth (36%) and earnings growth (69%).
Undervalued market cap ($4B) vs. competitors Adidas ($17B) and Nike ($44B).

Negatives:
Mediocre profit margin (6%), operating margin (10%), ROA (12%) and ROE (16%).
Negative cash flows.

Here's my current portfolio. As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 11.95%
Baidu (BIDU) 8.94%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 7.35%
Google (GOOG) 5.82%
Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust (DOM) 5.75%
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) 5.52%
Ace Limited (ACE) 4.33%
Apache (APA) 4.23%
American Software (AMSWA) 3.75%
Hugoton Royalty Trust (HGT) 3.69%
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT) 3.68%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 3.36%
Blackstone (BX) 3.01%
Cherokee (CHKE) 2.86%
DuPont (DD) 2.63%
Intel (INTC) 2.54%
Prospect Capital (PSEC) 2.49%
McDonald's (MCD) 2.49%
Vodafone (VOD) 2.41%
The Distressed (ERTS, ESI, JSDA, LZB, MMI, MSI, PCS, RVR, STEC, WFC) 2.36%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 2.15%
BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP) 2.05%
American Capital Agency (AGNC) 1.83%
Under Armour (UA) 1.69%
Chimera Investment (CIM) 1.62%
Netflix (NFLX) 1.33%