Wednesday, December 2, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: COST, CRM, DDD, SSYS

Continuing the "cut the losers" theme, Cisco (CSCO) has been sold after (inexplicably) being added to just this past March. It's only been dead money for nearly 16 years and counting.

Proceeds from this sale were used towards 2 "winners"...and 2 stocks of another sort.


Costco (COST)

Positives:
Positive cash flows ($4.3B operating, $1.5B free).
Very safe 1.0% dividend yield.
Warren Buffett likes it.

Negatives:
Thin margins (2% profit, 3% operating).
Weak revenue (1%) and earnings (10%) growth.


Salesforce.com (CRM)

Positives:
Solid revenue growth (24%).
Positive free cash flows ($1.4B).

Negatives:
Expensive 82 forward P/E, 3.45 PEG.
Negative profit (-1%) margin and ROE (-2%).
More debt ($2.1B) than cash ($1.4B).


3D Systems (DDD)
Stratasys (SSYS)

Because.


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 12.90%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.04%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.77%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.86%
Amazon (AMZN) 5.63%
Under Armour (UA) 4.82%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.50%
Stratasys (SSYS) 4.22%
Nike (NKE) 4.05%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.79%
Blackstone (BX) 2.75%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.75%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.43%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.30%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.06%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.78%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.62%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.62%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 1.62%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.59%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.52%
Intel (INTC) 1.39%
Boeing (BA) 1.39%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.29%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.23%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.20%
DuPont (DD) 1.16%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.88%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.72%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.71%
American Express (AXP) 0.71%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.70%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.60%

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: DDD, SSYS (The True Believer Edition)

(...remember that time that I tried to chase a bunch of high-flying growth stocks? Yeah, I'm unwinding that trade.)

(...however, I decided this month to cut some losers in order to buy the biggest losers of all...)

Including this month, I've bought DDD and SSYS twelve and eight times respectively. If there are any stocks that I believe in more than any others, it would be these; even to my great detriment.

There is some actual evidence that this could be the end of the downward spiral. I submit:
  • It might be the case that consumer 3D printing technologies are now poised to begin climbing the "Slope of Enlightenment", with further-out technologies moving post-"Peak of Inflated Expectations" (from Gartner):





Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.44%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.95%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.49%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.45%
Amazon (AMZN) 5.30%
Under Armour (UA) 5.25%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.87%
Stratasys (SSYS) 4.01%
Nike (NKE) 3.95%
Blackstone (BX) 3.01%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.80%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.68%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.26%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.21%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.04%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.86%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.74%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.59%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.57%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.44%
Boeing (BA) 1.39%
Intel (INTC) 1.35%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.29%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.24%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.18%
DuPont (DD) 1.10%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.92%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.86%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.83%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.78%
American Express (AXP) 0.73%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.73%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.69%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.63%

Monday, October 12, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: NKE, SBUX

(...remember that time that I tried to chase a bunch of high-flying growth stocks? Yeah, I'm unwinding that trade.)

I was looking at my portfolio recently, and on a whim decided to sort it by annualized gain. These stocks appeared at the top: TSLA, AMZN, UA, NKE, AAPL, SBUX

I know hindsight is 20/20, but...it is hard to ignore how obvious of a portfolio that is. No "hidden gems" in that list whatsoever. Any 10-year-old or 70-year-old might have come up with that basket of stocks. I can't help but think that investing is simpler than most people make it seem (myself especially included).

Therefore, let's get all Jack Welch on my portfolio; reward the winners, and cut the losers.


Nike (NKE)

Positives:
+$4.3B cash minus debt.
Massive operating ($4.5B) and free cash flow ($2.2B).
Dividend increased for 25 consecutive years, currently yielding 0.9%.

Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
Tepid revenue growth (5%).
Mild profit and operating margins (11% and 14% respectively).
Low insider ownership (0.18%).


Starbucks (SBUX)

Positives:
Good profit (15%) and operating (18%) margins.
Solid revenue (18%) and earnings (22%) growth.
Dividend increased for 5 consecutive years, currently yielding 1.1%.

Negatives:
Somewhat expensive forward P/E of 32.
-$0.8B cash minus debt.
It is possible, maybe even likely, that someone will come along and make a better cup of coffee someday.


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.23%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.97%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 7.22%
Under Armour (UA) 6.13%
Amazon (AMZN) 4.89%
Baidu (BIDU) 4.27%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.21%
Nike (NKE) 4.12%
Blackstone (BX) 3.25%
Starbucks (SBUX) 2.94%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.90%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.73%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.60%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.19%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.96%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.96%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.72%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.64%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.62%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.52%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.50%
Boeing (BA) 1.42%
Intel (INTC) 1.37%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.34%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.29%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.16%
DuPont (DD) 1.02%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.93%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.90%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.89%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.85%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.84%
American Express (AXP) 0.82%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.80%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.75%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.75%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.68%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.65%

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: DDD, SSYS




Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.52%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 11.92%
Google (GOOGL) 7.11%
Under Armour (UA) 5.84%
Amazon (AMZN) 4.76%
Baidu (BIDU) 4.61%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.23%
Blackstone (BX) 3.44%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.81%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.66%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.50%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.48%
Nike (NKE) 2.36%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.92%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.72%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.70%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.58%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.53%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.47%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.46%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.39%
Boeing (BA) 1.38%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.33%
Intel (INTC) 1.29%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.28%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.11%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.95%
DuPont (DD) 0.93%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.88%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.87%
Alibaba (BABA) 0.86%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.86%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.85%
American Express (AXP) 0.83%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.82%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.79%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.77%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.75%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.71%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.71%
FireEye (FEYE) 0.71%

Monday, August 10, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: VEOEY, UA

First, the housecleaning: ConocoPhillips (COP) was sold at a 16% loss (6% annualized), and non-voting Google (GOOG) was exchanged for voting Google (GOOGL).

This month's choices assert that water is the new oil, and that Stephen Curry and Jordan Spieth are quite good at basketball and golf, respectively...


Veolia Environnement (VEOEY)

Positives:
3.5% dividend yield.
Positive revenue growth (8%).
Large operating ($2.2B) and free ($2.1B) cash flows.

Negatives:
Premium 64 P/E.
Middling profit margin (1%), operating margin (4%), ROA (2%) and ROE (4%).
$3.6B cash vs. $12.7B debt.
Trades over-the-counter on the "pink sheets" (something I swore off a while ago).


Under Armour (UA)

Positives:
Solid revenue growth (29%).
Undervalued market cap ($21B) vs. Nike ($70B).

Negatives:
Expensive 107 P/E, 69 forward P/E.
Negative earnings growth (-16%).
Mediocre profit margin (6%), operating margin (10%), ROA (10%) and ROE (16%).
$171M cash vs. $716M debt.
Negative free cash flow (-$122M).


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.94%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.95%
Google (GOOGL) 6.95%
Under Armour (UA) 5.75%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.15%
Amazon (AMZN) 4.57%
Blackstone (BX) 3.69%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.44%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.76%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.48%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.45%
Nike (NKE) 2.35%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.35%
Twitter (TWTR) 1.97%
Stratasys (SSYS) 1.90%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.79%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.60%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.56%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.54%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.53%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.46%
Boeing (BA) 1.44%
Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) 1.32%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.24%
Intel (INTC) 1.24%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.10%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.03%
DuPont (DD) 0.98%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.94%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.92%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.92%
American Express (AXP) 0.85%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.83%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.82%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.81%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.79%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.79%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.78%
FireEye (FEYE) 0.78%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.77%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.73%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.59%

Monday, July 6, 2015

Stock Of The Month: DDD

We're dollar cost averaging, folks. Someday, the shares will be at $100 and we'll all have a good laugh over this... #sarcasm


3D Systems (DDD)

Positives:
Cool technology.
Positive cash flows ($50M operating, $52M free).
$200M cash vs. $9M debt.

Negatives:
Lukewarm revenue growth (8%).
Negative earnings, though forward P/E (if you believe in such things) is 21.
Negative margins (-1% profit, -0% operating), ROA (-0%), ROE (-1%).
Heavily shorted (34%).


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 14.76%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 12.78%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 5.63%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.54%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.31%
Under Armour (UA) 3.96%
Blackstone (BX) 3.84%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.83%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.60%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.50%
Twitter (TWTR) 2.39%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.29%
Nike (NKE) 2.25%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.24%
Stratasys (SSYS) 1.99%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.75%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.61%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.58%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.51%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.47%
Boeing (BA) 1.40%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.39%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.31%
Intel (INTC) 1.27%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.21%
DuPont (DD) 1.09%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.06%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.03%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.90%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.90%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.89%
FireEye (FEYE) 0.84%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.83%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.83%
American Express (AXP) 0.82%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.81%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.77%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.76%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.74%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.72%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.69%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.68%




Monday, June 22, 2015

Late Spring Cleaning: Bought AAPL, ANET, BX, DATA, FEYE

Having lamented owning some low growth, poor balance sheet, underperforming stocks, I looked for some opposites...

Revenue Growth
Cash
Debt
Dividend Yield
Apple (AAPL)
27%
$33.4B
$43.9B
1.6%
Arista Networks (ANET)
53%
$0.5B
$0.04B
n/a
Blackstone (BX)
64%
$1.2B
$9.2B
8.4%
Tableau Software (DATA)
75%
$0.7B
$0.0B
n/a
FireEye (FEYE)
70%
$0.4B
$0.0B
n/a

Revenue growth is my focal point going forward.  Dividends, margins/returns, earnings, cash, etc. are all nice, but revenue growth is the best indicator of a healthy company.


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative (hey, there is no speculative!)). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 14.76%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 11.72%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.06%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 5.72%
Blackstone (BX) 3.95%
Under Armour (UA) 3.93%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.79%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.28%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.64%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.55%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.51%
Twitter (TWTR) 2.36%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.31%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.20%
Nike (NKE) 2.16%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.78%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.66%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.64%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.55%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.54%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.44%
Boeing (BA) 1.43%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.38%
Intel (INTC) 1.34%
DuPont (DD) 1.25%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.18%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.09%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.06%
Arista Networks (ANET) 0.96%
Tableau Software (DATA) 0.91%
FireEye (FEYE) 0.91%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.90%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.89%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.87%
American Express (AXP) 0.85%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.84%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.78%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.76%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.76%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.70%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.70%

Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Late Spring Cleaning: Sold EMC, GRPN, HSY, IBM, IRBT, LVS, SCTY, WYNN

For whatever reason yesterday, I took a closer look at several of my portfolio stocks' key statistics. (Perhaps this should not be a random activity.)  The following group emerged as having several discouraging characteristics:
  • Enemic revenue growth,
  • insufficient cash vs. debt,
  • negative returns, and
  • minor representation within my portfolio.

Revenue Growth
Cash
Debt
Dividend Yield
Returns
Annualized Returns
Portfolio Holdings (as of 5/8/15)
EMC (EMC)
2%
$6.4B
$5.5B
1.7%
-4%
-3%
1.13%
Groupon (GRPN)
3%
$1.0B
$0.03B
n/a 
-14%
-14%
0.57%
Hershey (HSY)
4%
$0.4B
$2.5B
2.4%
-6%
-3%
0.75%
International Business Machines (IBM)
-12%
$8.8B
$38.8B
3.1%
-13%
-5%
0.58%
iRobot (IRBT)
3%
$0.2B
$0.0B
n/a 
-21%
-17%
0.51%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
-25%
$2.4B
$9.2B
5.0%
-9%
-5%
0.74%
SolarCity (SCTY)
6%
$0.6B
$1.8B
n/a 
-25%
-26%
0.50%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
-28%
$1.8B
$8.0B
1.9%
-26%
-15%
0.60%
There are some decent dividend yields within the group, but overall I decided that I should put my money to better use elsewhere...and lock in those capital losses.

The 5 high revenue growth, healthy balance sheet, (hopefully continuing!) positive return stocks to take the place of the above will be described in my next post.

Monday, June 8, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: AWK, WTR

Water is the new oil.

It could be scarce, it could be abundant; it could be a commodity, it could be a fundamental right; it could be the next bubble, it could be dead money.
Who knows? That's why we buy, hold, and see what happens.


American Water Works (AWK)

Positives:
2.6% dividend yield.
Solid profit (14%) and operating (33%) margins.
18% earnings growth.

Negatives:
$-0.02B cash vs. $6.05B debt.
Modest 3% revenue growth.
Free cash flow negative (-$89M).

Aqua America (WTR)

Positives:
2.5% dividend yield.
Excellent profit (30%) and operating (40%) margins.
13% earnings growth.

Negatives:
$-0.01B cash vs. $1.68B debt.
Modest 4% revenue growth.
Free cash flow negative (-$14M).


Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative (hey, there is no speculative!)). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.68%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 11.76%
Baidu (BIDU) 5.98%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 5.67%
Under Armour (UA) 3.81%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.74%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.50%
Blackstone (BX) 2.83%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.62%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.61%
Twitter (TWTR) 2.47%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.31%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.23%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.18%
Nike (NKE) 2.09%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.75%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.66%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.56%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.53%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.53%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.47%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.42%
Boeing (BA) 1.41%
Intel (INTC) 1.33%
DuPont (DD) 1.27%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.15%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.14%
EMC (EMC) 1.13%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.07%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.89%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.88%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.85%
American Express (AXP) 0.83%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.80%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.78%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.78%
Hershey (HSY) 0.75%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.75%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.74%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.71%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.69%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 0.60%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.58%
Groupon (GRPN) 0.57%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.51%
SolarCity (SCTY) 0.50%

Monday, May 4, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: DDD, SSYS

3D Systems (DDD)



Stratasys (SSYS)



Here's my current portfolio (growth, dividend, and speculative (hey, there is no speculative!)). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.84%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 10.63%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.02%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 5.82%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.03%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.75%
Under Armour (UA) 3.65%
Blackstone (BX) 2.89%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.84%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.73%
Twitter (TWTR) 2.57%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.36%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.25%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.23%
Nike (NKE) 2.09%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.75%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.75%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.65%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.63%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.59%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.59%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.51%
Boeing (BA) 1.45%
Intel (INTC) 1.42%
DuPont (DD) 1.36%
EMC (EMC) 1.16%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.13%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.08%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.05%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.88%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.88%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.86%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.85%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.84%
American Express (AXP) 0.83%
Hershey (HSY) 0.78%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.78%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.76%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.73%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.73%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 0.69%
Groupon (GRPN) 0.68%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.62%
SolarCity (SCTY) 0.54%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.52%

Thursday, April 2, 2015

Stock Of The Month: TSLA

I'm following my gut this month. Sometimes I'll look at a trading price, and get a nagging this stock is too cheap/doesn't belong here/is going higher very, very soon feeling. And when that stock doesn't abide by fundamentals, that gut feeling is all you really have anyway...


Tesla Motors (TSLA)

Positives:
Elon Musk.
Makes the best cars in the world. A truly customer-delightful company.
56% revenue growth.
Market cap ($24B) one-quarter that of the buggy whip maker it will soon obsolesce (Daimler, $101B).

Negatives:
Horrible fundamentals across the board (negative earnings, margins, cash flows, etc., etc.)


Here's my current portfolio (growth and dividend). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.95%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.11%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.38%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 5.93%
3D Systems (DDD) 3.93%
Under Armour (UA) 3.89%
Twitter (TWTR) 3.55%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.42%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.93%
Blackstone (BX) 2.73%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.62%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.59%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.49%
Nike (NKE) 2.13%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.99%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.79%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.78%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.76%
Boeing (BA) 1.55%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.54%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.53%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.47%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.43%
Intel (INTC) 1.36%
DuPont (DD) 1.35%
EMC (EMC) 1.12%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.11%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.11%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.10%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.90%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.90%
American Express (AXP) 0.88%
Hershey (HSY) 0.86%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.85%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.83%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.83%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.82%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.82%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 0.79%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.75%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.72%
Groupon (GRPN) 0.70%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.59%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.54%
SolarCity (SCTY) 0.48%

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: CHL, CSCO

This month's picks are a couple of telecommunications stocks with steady dividends and exceptional balance sheets...


China Mobile (CHL)

Positives:
A veritable bank vault. $73B cash vs. $0.8B debt.
2.6% dividend yield.
Massive $35B operating, $7B free cash flows.

Negatives:
Large $263B market cap; not much room for capital appreciation.
Negative earnings growth (-9%).
Tepid 7% revenue growth.

Cisco (CSCO)

Positives:
$53B cash vs. $21B debt.
2.8% dividend yield.
68% earnings growth.

Negatives:
Somewhat large $151B market cap; not much room for capital appreciation.
Tepid 7% revenue growth.
Minuscule 0.07% insider ownership.


Here's my current portfolio (growth and dividend). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 14.24%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 7.96%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 6.27%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.24%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.14%
Under Armour (UA) 3.70%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.49%
Twitter (TWTR) 3.32%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.99%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.96%
Blackstone (BX) 2.63%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.63%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.46%
Nike (NKE) 2.07%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.81%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.78%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 1.77%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.68%
Cisco (CSCO) 1.64%
Boeing (BA) 1.60%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.52%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.49%
China Mobile (CHL) 1.49%
Intel (INTC) 1.48%
DuPont (DD) 1.46%
EMC (EMC) 1.24%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.15%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.09%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.08%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.91%
American Express (AXP) 0.89%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.89%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.88%
Hershey (HSY) 0.87%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.86%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 0.85%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.83%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.81%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.80%
Groupon (GRPN) 0.79%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.78%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.70%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.58%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.55%
SolarCity (SCTY) 0.46%

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Stocks Of The Month: QIHU, TWTR

Looking for some cheap growth...so I went back to my "Losers" for the second month in a row.


Qihoo 360 (QIHU)

Positives:
Excellent revenue (100%) and earnings (30%) growth.
Positive cash flows ($326M operating, $89M free).
24% insider holdings.
Outstanding PEG ratio of 0.59 (if you believe in such things).

Negatives:
Expensive 49 P/E, though forward P/E of 16 is very reasonable.
Modest profit (14%) and operating (18%) margins.


Twitter (TWTR)

Positives:
Beyond excellent revenue growth (114%!).
$3.6B cash vs. $1.5B debt.
Positive cash flows ($36M operating, $296M free).

Negatives:
Beyond expensive forward P/E of 117.
Terrible margins (-83% profit, -81% operating), ROA (-18%), ROE (-46%).
Significantly shorted (9%).


Here's my current portfolio (growth and dividend). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Apple (AAPL) 13.55%
Tesla Motors (TSLA) 9.04%
Baidu (BIDU) 6.81%
Google (GOOG/GOOGL) 6.00%
3D Systems (DDD) 4.20%
Under Armour (UA) 3.66%
Amazon (AMZN) 3.42%
Ace Limited (ACE) 2.99%
Stratasys (SSYS) 2.88%
Twitter (TWTR) 2.87%
Blackstone (BX) 2.73%
Southern Copper (SCCO) 2.67%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 2.55%
Qihoo 360 (QIHU) 2.37%
Nike (NKE) 2.05%
Wells Fargo (WFC) 1.78%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.77%
American Software (AMSWA) 1.63%
ConocoPhillips (COP) 1.61%
Boeing (BA) 1.57%
Intel (INTC) 1.52%
Microsoft (MSFT) 1.51%
DuPont (DD) 1.43%
Alibaba (BABA) 1.25%
EMC (EMC) 1.21%
McDonald's (MCD) 1.12%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.05%
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 0.98%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.96%
American Express (AXP) 0.95%
Hershey (HSY) 0.92%
Cisco (CSCO) 0.92%
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 0.92%
Ansys (ANSS) 0.89%
China Mobile (CHL) 0.88%
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 0.87%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 0.87%
F5 Networks (FFIV) 0.85%
Coca-Cola (KO) 0.78%
Groupon (GRPN) 0.76%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 0.74%
Computer Programs and Systems (CPSI) 0.69%
International Business Machines (IBM) 0.60%
iRobot (IRBT) 0.55%
SolarCity (SCTY) 0.51%