Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Room A Thousand Years Wide: 125 Stocks Revisited

A thousand doors, a thousand lies
Rooms a thousand years wide
I walk in the cold sun and wind
All these years can not begin


One year ago, I made a list of stocks, from my other lists of stocks:

"I have completed the yearly effort to update the "Short List" by combing through all 13 watchlists, looking for one particular characteristic: the stock must have consistently outperformed the market, across several historical time horizons.

The following 125 stocks made the cut. They may have questionable valuation/financials, or lack upside due to shear size, or participate in a boring business, or represent additional risks going forward; but if the point of investing in individual stocks is to beat the broader market, all of these stocks have a history of doing exactly just that...which may be the most fundamental characteristic of all."


One year later, it is time to review the results of my would-be superlist:
  • 39 of 125 stocks (31%) outperformed the NASDAQ Composite;
  • an additional 20 stocks (16%) outperformed the S&P 500;
  • an additional 20 stocks (16%) increased in value;
  • an additional 43 stocks (34%) decreased in value; and
  • the remaining 3 stocks merged with other companies.
Past performance is not indicative of future results, as they say.

The mostly good news: I was able to add three of these stocks to my portfolio, and two have done well.
  • Visa (V) (good)
  • Norfolk Southern (NSC) (good)
  • Booking Holdings (BKNG) (not so good)
See below for the full list results.

NAME
SYMBOL
CURRENT MKT CAP
1 YR.   MKT CAP
% CHANGE
Square, Inc.
24.47B
8.83B
177.12%
Netflix, Inc.
169.76B
64.73B
162.26%
Align Technology, Inc.
27.15B
12.21B
122.36%
Green Dot Corporation
3.89B
1.96B
98.47%
Copart, Inc.
13.32B
7.13B
86.82%
ServiceNow, Inc.
31.31B
18.06B
73.37%
XPO Logistics, Inc.
11.96B
7.12B
67.98%
CoStar Group, Inc.
14.87B
8.87B
67.64%
The Boeing Company
193.96B
122.15B
58.79%
IAC/InterActiveCorp
12.81B
8.07B
58.74%
Proofpoint, Inc.
5.92B
3.75B
57.87%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc.
6.50B
4.21B
54.39%
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
98.87B
64.83B
52.51%
HEICO Corporation
8.75B
5.88B
48.81%
Paycom Software, Inc.
5.95B
4.02B
48.01%
Becton, Dickinson and Company
64.26B
44.97B
42.90%
Total System Services, Inc.
15.39B
10.80B
42.50%
Red Hat, Inc.
23.94B
17.14B
39.67%
Ansys, Inc.
14.56B
10.46B
39.20%
Moody's Corporation
32.58B
23.58B
38.17%
Guidewire Software, Inc.
7.16B
5.21B
37.43%
Zillow Group, Inc.
Z
11.70B
8.54B
37.00%
Visa Inc.
V
294.42B
216.55B
35.96%
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.
12.50B
9.25B
35.14%
Fair Isaac Corporation
5.84B
4.35B
34.25%
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
474.71B
360.26B
31.77%
TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation
30.64B
23.43B
30.77%
TransDigm Group Incorporated
18.06B
13.87B
30.21%
Electronic Arts Inc.
43.23B
33.26B
29.98%
CME Group Inc.
54.86B
42.42B
29.33%
Weibo Corporation
19.60B
15.18B
29.12%
Veeva Systems Inc.
11.14B
8.71B
27.90%
Nasdaq, Inc.
15.05B
11.83B
27.22%
Caterpillar Inc.
80.02B
62.99B
27.04%
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
10.18B
8.04B
26.62%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
30.68B
24.79B
23.76%
AbbVie Inc.
141.73B
114.64B
23.63%
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
10.67B
8.69B
22.78%
The Home Depot, Inc.
223.35B
182.00B
22.72%
NASDAQ Composite



22.00%
Boston Scientific Corporation
45.82B
37.78B
21.28%
Humana Inc.
41.42B
34.38B
20.48%
Stryker Corporation
63.45B
52.75B
20.28%
Norfolk Southern Corporation
42.64B
35.45B
20.28%
HDFC Bank Limited
79.37B
66.08B
20.11%
Anthem, Inc.
60.92B
50.77B
19.99%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
82.83B
69.44B
19.28%
Aetna Inc.
60.58B
51.04B
18.69%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
46.81B
39.44B
18.69%
Comerica Incorporated
15.55B
13.21B
17.71%
NVR, Inc.
10.99B
9.36B
17.41%
Hooker Furniture Corporation
0.56B
0.48B
16.67%
Best Buy Co., Inc.
20.57B
17.65B
16.54%
Waste Connections, Inc.
19.84B
17.13B
15.82%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
14.54B
12.63B
15.12%
Bank of America Corporation
281.67B
247.11B
13.99%
II-VI Incorporated
2.55B
2.24B
13.84%
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.
5.43B
4.78B
13.60%
Deere & Company
45.48B
40.31B
12.83%
National Presto Industries, Inc.
0.87B
0.78B
11.54%
S&P 500



11.50%
Celanese Corporation
15.08B
13.56B
11.21%
Raymond James Financial, Inc.
12.55B
11.33B
10.77%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
9.56B
8.73B
9.51%
Constellation Brands, Inc.
41.14B
37.71B
9.10%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
42.05B
39.03B
7.74%
AGNC Investment Corp.
8.10B
7.60B
6.58%
Nordson Corporation
7.40B
6.96B
6.32%
Skechers U.S.A., Inc.
4.91B
4.63B
6.05%
Honeywell International Inc.
108.26B
102.24B
5.89%
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
352.72B
333.39B
5.80%
Booking Holdings, Inc.
99.25B
94.28B
5.27%
PetMed Express, Inc.
0.88B
0.84B
4.76%
PulteGroup, Inc.
8.24B
7.87B
4.70%
FedEx Corporation
60.82B
58.42B
4.11%
Republic Services, Inc.
22.44B
21.67B
3.55%
Torchmark Corporation
9.34B
9.08B
2.86%
Elbit Systems Ltd.
5.33B
5.19B
2.70%
Brunswick Corporation
5.69B
5.58B
1.97%
The Blackstone Group L.P.
40.77B
40.24B
1.32%
Broadcom Limited
103.30B
102.77B
0.52%
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
36.76B
36.76B
0.00%
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
53.76B
53.81B
-0.09%
State Street Corporation
33.95B
34.19B
-0.70%
Rockwell Automation Inc.
20.99B
21.19B
-0.94%
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
28.10B
28.39B
-1.02%
Barnes Group Inc.
B
3.13B
3.19B
-1.88%
Morgan Stanley
83.24B
85.18B
-2.28%
Ellie Mae, Inc.
3.59B
3.68B
-2.45%
Medtronic plc
116.22B
119.54B
-2.78%
McDonald's Corporation
122.86B
127.37B
-3.54%
Pegasystems, Inc.
4.34B
4.54B
-4.41%
Cigna Corporation
41.42B
43.42B
-4.61%
Aon plc
33.52B
35.40B
-5.31%
Erie Indemnity Company
6.11B
6.47B
-5.56%
Regal Beloit Corporation
3.53B
3.74B
-5.61%
Healthcare Services Group, Inc.
3.19B
3.39B
-5.90%
3M Company
116.26B
125.18B
-7.13%
iRobot Corporation
2.12B
2.29B
-7.42%
Johnson & Johnson
329.13B
357.04B
-7.82%
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
3.46B
3.77B
-8.22%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
20.34B
22.18B
-8.30%
LCI Industries
2.28B
2.50B
-8.80%
Citigroup Inc.
C
168.45B
186.97B
-9.91%
Equifax Inc.
14.93B
16.63B
-10.22%
Mercury Systems, Inc.
1.86B
2.09B
-11.00%
PPG Industries, Inc.
24.83B
28.44B
-12.69%
Oracle Corporation
178.04B
204.15B
-12.79%
Carnival Corporation
40.53B
47.69B
-15.01%
NetEase, Inc.
32.78B
38.83B
-15.58%
Fidelity National Financial, Inc.
10.23B
12.16B
-15.87%
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
34.09B
40.64B
-16.12%
Berry Global Group, Inc.
6.12B
7.46B
-17.96%
Expedia, Inc.
18.51B
22.61B
-18.13%
Fabrinet
1.34B
1.64B
-18.29%
Corning Incorporated
22.71B
27.86B
-18.49%
Cummins Inc.
21.53B
27.57B
-21.91%
Southwest Airlines Co.
29.87B
38.84B
-23.09%
H&R Block, Inc.
4.89B
6.50B
-24.77%
Universal Display Corporation
3.93B
5.23B
-24.86%
Aluminum Corporation Of China Limited
6.63B
8.96B
-26.00%
Franklin Resources, Inc.
17.01B
25.49B
-33.27%
Celgene Corporation
57.01B
103.51B
-44.92%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
9.28B
52.50B
-82.32%

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

Stock Of The Month: TSLA (The ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Edition)

"They have [until July 8th] before their short position explodes"
"They are in for a rude awakening :)"
"Oh and uh short burn of the century comin soon"
"The sheer magnitude of short carnage will be unreal"
"It will be next level. These are really big numbers"


Elon Musk is a very confident CEO. I believe he knows something that the rest of don't know.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Here's my current portfolio (buy and hold). As always, I believe in all of these stocks - until I sell them.

Amazon (AMZN) 15.28%
Tesla (TSLA) 13.94%
NVIDIA (NVDA) 13.04%
Apple (AAPL) 12.17%
Alphabet (GOOGL) 6.89%
Facebook (FB) 5.21%
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) 4.15%
Microsoft (MSFT) 2.89%
Adobe Systems (ADBE) 2.76%
Nike (NKE) 2.39%
Salesforce.com (CRM) 2.29%
Visa (V) 1.87%
Intel (INTC) 1.81%
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) 1.76%
BlackRock (BLK) 1.52%
Booking Holdings (BKNG) 1.47%
Waste Management (WM) 1.43%
Chubb Limited (CB) 1.30%
Costco Wholesale (COST) 1.28%
Starbucks (SBUX) 1.23%
Autodesk (ADSK) 0.94%
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) 0.61%
Comcast (CMCSA) 0.58%
American Water Works (AWK) 0.54%
CSX (CSX) 0.47%
Norfolk Southern (NSC) 0.47%
Aqua America (WTR) 0.44%
Union Pacific (UNP) 0.44%
Canadian National Railway (CNI) 0.42%
Kansas City Southern (KSU) 0.35%