Wednesday, January 2, 2008

2007 Stock Recap: The Ongoing Concerns

So the market was down a bunch today. Alright, 2008! What an underperforming unpredictable and ulcer-inducing exciting market this promises to be!

Continuing from yesterday...

Let's look at all the stocks I've held going into this year, from worst to best - based solely on 2007's performance, while mostly ignoring any intra-year volatility:

Geron (GERN)
Bought: Oct @ $8.00
Year-closing price: $5.68 (-29%)
Dangerously close to triggering a sell. Hoping for election results, or revenues from one of those 879532748132746237014 patents, to kick in.

Dominion Resources Black Warrior Trust (DOM)
Bought: Nov @ $23.75
Year-closing price: $18.15 (-24%)
Strictly a dividend play. Should hopefully be DCA'ing soon.

Goldman Sachs (GS)
Bought: Dec @ $222.09
Year-closing price: $215.05 (-3%)
No subprime exposure to be found here.

NVIDIA (NDVA)
Bought: Oct @ $35.00
Year-closing price: $34.02 (-3%)
A little (OK, a lot) late, but I'm committed to this one long-term.

ACE Limited (ACE)
Year-opening price: $60.57
Year-closing price: $61.78 (2%)
Sometimes boring is well enough.

MF Global (MF)
Bought: Dec @ $29.99
Year-closing price: $31.47 (5%)
A bet on volatile and voluminous markets in 2008 and beyond.

Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP)
Year-opening price: $34.52
Year-closing price: $36.27 (5%)
My other coal play, which hasn't quite panned out.

Tidewater (TDW)
Bought: Nov @ $51.30
Year-closing price: $54.86 (7%)
Certainly in the right sector; should be getting some more attention this year.

Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
Bought: Apr, Jun @ $15.36
Year-closing price: $18.18 (18%)
A Fed rate cut bet that sorta worked.

MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR)
Bought: Nov @ $74.74
Year-closing price: $88.49 (18%)
Best fundamentals of any solar play I could find.

Apple (AAPL)
Bought: Sep @ $146.82
Year-closing price: $198.08 (35%)
iPhone sales are nice; Mac sales are nicer.

Google (GOOG)
Year-opening price: $460.48
Year-closing price: $691.48 (50%)
The world's best tech innovator. Looking forward to Android.

Frontline (FRO)
Year-opening price: $31.85
Year-closing price: $48.00 (51%)
Own for the dividend, but will take the capital gains too.

Apache (APA)
Year-opening price: $66.51
Year-closing price: $107.54 (62%)
Finally earned some recognition as one of North America's finest oil and natural gas companies.

Capstone Turbine (CPST)
Bought: Feb @ $0.96 (DCA'd)
Year-closing price: $1.63 (70%)
Thank you, Mayor Bloomberg!

Fording Canadian Coal Trust (FDG)
Year-opening price: $20.75
Year-closing price: $38.60 (86%)
Two magic words: "strategic alternatives".

Nokia (NOK)
Year-opening price: $20.32
Year-closing price: $38.39 (89%)
After several sleepy years, is finally being valued as the world-class juggernaut that it is.

Southern Copper (PCU)
Year-opening price: $53.89
Year-closing price: $105.13 (95%)
Great commodity, great dividend yield; great stock.

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
Year-opening price: $95.90
Year-closing price: $323.00 (237%)
It's better to be lucky than good. Here's an investing thesis: surgical robots are cool.

Baidu (BIDU)
Bought: Apr @ $96.50
Year-closing price: $389.80 (304%)
Again, better lucky than good. Happened to buy at near-year lows, and right before it took off. Still has a market cap 1/16th that of GOOG.